Estudo de viabilidade econômico-financeira da implantação de distrito industrial

Abstract

Before showing all the factors and variables that affect this project, scenarios and alternatives. The investor/sponsor has more turns and possibilities so the returns of his actions must be observed for a better and more efficient use of resources. Given this scenario, this work aims at realizing the economic and financial viability of the implantation of the Industrial District in the city of Castanhal, based on public initiative. It will be used as computer simulation tools, in this case Crystal Ball to eplicate different scenarios and analysis of results, using the Monte Carlo Method as an end to heat and risks. For such analysis, use the feasibility study techniques of the technology to obtain results through the methods. Methodologically, it is a quantitative, the procedures to be characterized as a case study, with an unistandard interview, with form and observation. The illustration was performed by Crystal Ball software, where 3 macro scenarios were performed, with scenarios: pessimistic, ealistic and optimistic, to analyze how variables and behavior over the project period. For the pessimistic scenario 1, it is possible to have 12.1% of investment unfeasibility, a dominant nomenclature index, there are no indicators, and increases of almost 50% of the generated values can occur, according to NPV without realistic space 1 presents R $ 2,492,916.20 and not optimistic 2 R $ 4,301,840.00. The chances of a return on investment are high and, in the end, an analysis of the OptQuest of the minimum values ​​for payment of the investment.